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End The Wait Ontario is a parent-led advocacy organization. We publish FOI-verified data on the Ontario Autism Program waitlist and push for evidence-based reform. Built for Ontario families, researchers, and journalists.

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end|thewaitontario

End The Wait Ontario is a parent-led advocacy organization. We publish FOI-verified data on the Ontario Autism Program waitlist and push for evidence-based reform. Built for Ontario families, researchers, and journalists.

Email Your MPP (2 min)

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end|thewaitontario

End The Wait Ontario is a parent-led advocacy organization. We publish FOI-verified data on the Ontario Autism Program waitlist and push for evidence-based reform. Built for Ontario families, researchers, and journalists.

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Legal Disclaimer: This website presents advocacy arguments based on publicly available data and legal frameworks. While we strive for accuracy, this content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute legal or medical advice. Nothing on this website should be construed as a guarantee of any specific legal outcome.

Independence: End The Wait Ontario is a parent-led advocacy group. We are not affiliated with the Ontario government, the Ontario Autism Coalition, Autism Ontario, or the World Health Organization. We cite FOI data obtained by the Ontario Autism Coalition as a matter of public record. This does not constitute affiliation. References to these organizations are for informational purposes; no endorsement is implied.

Non-partisan policy advocacy: We advocate on policy outcomes for children and families and do not endorse any political party or candidate.

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Speak softly and carry a big stick.·The data is the stick.Follow the data. Demand the standard.

Founded by the family behind Carroll v. Ontario, a human-rights case about autism wait times (HRTO 2025-62264-I, not yet decided).

© 2026 End The Wait Ontario. All rights reserved. · Parent-led advocacy · Not a government agency

  1. Home
  2. ›Education
  3. ›Education Bargaining 2026
  4. ›The Receipts

The documented record

The receipts

Not opinions about the government. Findings by the bodies whose job is to examine it — the Auditor General, the Financial Accountability Office, the Integrity Commissioner, and the courts. Every entry links to the document.

Entries

19

Independent findings

10

Updated

2026-08-04

Argument is easy to dismiss. A finding by the province’s own Auditor General is not. So this page contains almost nothing of ours except the last paragraph of each entry, which is clearly marked as ours.

Three rules govern what appears here. Nothing is promoted from a claim to a finding, however much we agree with it. Nothing asserts what anyone intended — only what was done, what it cost, and what an oversight body concluded. And anything we could not confirm to a named source was left out rather than softened.

That last rule cost this page several entries we would have liked to include. It is the reason you can rely on the ones that remain — and the reason a government spokesperson reading this page has nothing easy to attack.

On special education as a funding precedent

One strand below needs its framing stated openly, because it is the one place where we are drawing an inference rather than reporting a finding.

The documented facts: public funding of independent schools in Ontario has been proposed specifically for students with special education needs, costed by Cardus in 2019 at $78 million to $195 milliona year, citing a Fraser Institute proposal from 2004. The same institute recommended in 2020 that Alberta “target additional financial resources to expanding independent-school options for special-needs students.” And polling published in January 2026 found 64% of Albertans supported public funding for children with special needs at independent schools, against 39% support for expanding education outside the public system generally.

We previously reasoned from this that a narrower, more sympathetic ask is easier to pass than a broad one, and that a funding channel which exists can later be widened. We have since tested that reading and are withdrawing it. In every province that funds independent schools — Manitoba, Alberta, British Columbia and Saskatchewan — general or religious funding came first and special-education designations were added afterwards. The sequence the theory predicts has not happened anywhere it could have.

What survives is narrower, verified, and comes from the advocates’ own research: of roughly 1,445 independent schools in Ontario, 57 emphasize special education. Whatever anyone intends, disabled children are the opening argument for a policy that would mostly benefit other schools.

We publish both halves because families should be able to weigh it themselves — and because a page that only prints the findings that suit us is not worth reading. The full investigation, including what cuts against us →

For the bargaining context these findings sit inside, start with the 2026 briefing.

How to read this page

Finding
A conclusion reached by an independent oversight body or a court.
On the record
Something the Legislature did, with a date. Not contested.
Claim
An assertion by an interested party — a union, advocacy group, opposition party, or think tank. Reported, not adopted.
Published proposal
A policy proposal published by a research or advocacy institute. The document and its contents are verifiable; whether it becomes policy is a separate question, and no government is claimed to have adopted it.

10 findings · 3 on the record · 4 published proposals · 2claims. We label our own side’s claims as claims too.

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Filter by topic

Showing 19 of 19 entries.

  1. ClaimInterested partyJune 3, 2026

    Unions say education has been underfunded by billions since 2018

    Asserted by ETFO, OSSTF, OECTA, AEFO and CUPE-OSBCU; and separately OSBCU. Not an independent finding.

    Ontario’s education unions assert that public education has been underfunded by about $6.4 billion since 2018, as reported by The Globe and Mail. The Ontario School Board Council of Unions separately states the figure as $6.5 billion in cuts since 2018. These figures differ from one another, and neither has been confirmed by an independent oversight body.

    What it means for disabled kids

    We include this because it is central to the dispute, and we label it a claim because that is what it is. We are sympathetic to the underlying argument and we still will not present a bargaining figure as an audited one. Where an independent body has quantified something — as the Auditor General did on special education — we cite that instead.

    Ontario education unions · Read the source document

  2. FindingAuditor General of OntarioMay 12, 2026

    Special education funding has not kept pace with need

    The Auditor General reported that special education funding rose from $3.1 billion in 2019/20 to $3.6 billion in 2023/24 — growth of 17% against inflation of 15%, while board spending grew 21%. In 2023/24, 46 of Ontario's 72 school boards spent $398M more on special education than they received. At the boards examined, educational assistant absences went unfilled 49–72% of the time, and 18% of educational assistants were absent on an average day. Only 21% of classroom teachers surveyed said they could meet most of the special education needs in their class, and 87% said they sometimes, rarely or never had the resources to implement an Individual Education Plan. 39% of teachers surveyed had observed exclusions that were not documented. The audit made 15 recommendations: 13 agreed · 2 disagreed.

    What it means for disabled kids

    This is the baseline, not the crisis. Every figure here describes the ordinary operating state of the system on a day when nobody is on strike. When bargaining is described as a fight about staffing, this is what staffing determines: whether a disabled child can be at school at all.

    Office of the Auditor General of Ontario · Read the source document

  3. Published proposalPolicy instituteJanuary 30, 2026

    Public support nearly doubles when funding is framed around special needs

    An Angus Reid Institute survey conducted in partnership with Cardus, fielded January 27–30, 2026 among a randomized sample of 516 Alberta adults, found that 64% supported public funding for children with special needs attending an independent school. Asked more generally whether government should expand educational opportunities outside the public system, Albertans were divided — 39% in favour and 46% opposed.

    What it means for disabled kids

    The same policy draws 64% support framed around disabled children and 39% framed generally. We are not alleging that anyone designed the framing for that effect. We are noting, from published polling, that disabled children are the framing under which this policy polls best — and that families should know their children are the most persuasive argument available for a policy that is not primarily about them.

    Angus Reid Institute, in partnership with Cardus · Read the source document

  4. On the recordLegislative Assembly of OntarioNovember 20, 2025

    The Minister of Education gained power to take control of a school board directly

    The Supporting Children and Students Act, 2025 (Bill 33) received Royal Assent on November 20, 2025. Among other measures, it expanded the Minister of Education’s powers to direct investigations into school boards on matters of public interest, to issue binding directions, and to vest control of a board’s administration — including financial management and asset disposition. These powers previously required approval of the Lieutenant Governor in Council. The Act contains no provisions directly addressing special education.

    What it means for disabled kids

    Decisions about how a board allocates special education staffing can now be taken further from the parents affected by them, and closer to a single provincial office. When your child’s support is cut, the question of who to escalate to has changed.

    Legislative Assembly of Ontario · Read the source document

  5. FindingFinancial Accountability OfficeFebruary 1, 2025

    Accelerating alcohol retail expansion carried a $612 million price tag

    The Financial Accountability Office estimated the net cost of expanding Ontario’s beverage alcohol marketplace at about $1.4 billion to 2029-30, of which about $612 million was attributable specifically to the decision to accelerate the expansion rather than proceed on the original timetable.

    What it means for disabled kids

    Included for scale, not for outrage. The cost of moving one retail policy forward by roughly sixteen months is within the same order of magnitude as the annual special education funding increases the Auditor General found insufficient.

    Financial Accountability Office of Ontario · Read the source document

  6. FindingAuditor General of OntarioDecember 3, 2024

    A procurement found not fair, transparent or accountable

    The Auditor General reported that the estimated cost of the Ontario Place redevelopment had grown to about $2.2 billion, against a 2019 projection of about $424 million. The Auditor General found the procurement process was not fair, transparent or accountable, and documented direct communication between an Infrastructure Ontario vice-president and one bidder during the open call. The selected operator holds a 95-year lease.

    What it means for disabled kids

    Included because it establishes something about process rather than politics: the finding that a procurement was not fair, transparent or accountable came from the province’s own Auditor General. Families told there is no money for educational assistants are entitled to see where money did go, and how it was decided.

    Office of the Auditor General of Ontario · Read the source document

  7. FindingFinancial Accountability OfficeNovember 1, 2024

    Moving ServiceOntario counters into a retailer cost more than announced

    The Financial Accountability Office reported that total payments to Staples Canada under the agreement to operate nine in-store ServiceOntario locations came to about $11.7 million — roughly $1.5 million more than the cost the government had announced.

    What it means for disabled kids

    A small file with a large lesson: when a public service is moved to a private operator, the announced cost and the audited cost were not the same number. Worth remembering whenever a delivery change is justified by savings.

    Financial Accountability Office of Ontario · Read the source document

  8. FindingFinancial Accountability OfficeJune 5, 2024

    A $3.7 billion shortfall against what the ministry needs

    The Financial Accountability Office found that the Ministry of Children, Community and Social Services was allocated about $3.7 billion less than required over 2024-25 to 2026-27, with annual gaps of roughly $0.7 billion, $1.2 billion and $1.8 billion. The FAO reported that a $600 million Ontario Autism Program budget funds full core service allocations for approximately 10,142 children.

    What it means for disabled kids

    The waitlist is not an administrative backlog that better processing will clear. The province’s own independent financial watchdog costed the gap between what is budgeted and what the program requires, and it is measured in billions.

    Financial Accountability Office of Ontario · Read the source document

  9. ClaimInterested partyApril 1, 2024

    Advocacy survey reports patients charged at private clinics

    Asserted by Ontario Health Coalition. Not an independent finding.

    The Ontario Health Coalition published a report stating that of 231 patients it surveyed, 120 reported being charged for medically necessary care at private clinics, most commonly in connection with cataract surgery. This is an advocacy organization’s survey of self-selected respondents, not a government audit or a regulatory finding.

    What it means for disabled kids

    Reported here with its methodology stated plainly so readers can weigh it themselves. A self-selected survey is evidence of a pattern worth investigating, not proof of its scale.

    Ontario Health Coalition · Read the source document

  10. FindingAuditor General of OntarioDecember 6, 2023

    Hospitals paid private agencies roughly three times staff rates for nurses

    The Auditor General reported that Ontario hospitals spent at least $170 million on agency nurses in 2022-23, and that agency nurses worked more than 1.7 million hours — double the previous year. Hospitals paid agencies between $99 and $106 per hour for an emergency department registered nurse in southern Ontario, and between $100 and $160 per hour in northern Ontario, roughly three times the cost of a staff nurse. The audit also recorded 203 unplanned temporary emergency department closures at 23 hospitals between July 2022 and June 2023.

    What it means for disabled kids

    This is the documented cost of running a public service on staffing shortages instead of staff. It is the same pattern families see in schools when an unfilled educational assistant absence becomes a phone call home — except in health care, someone quantified it.

    Office of the Auditor General of Ontario · Read the source document

  11. FindingIntegrity Commissioner of OntarioAugust 30, 2023

    A minister was found to have contravened the Members’ Integrity Act

    The Integrity Commissioner found that the Minister of Municipal Affairs and Housing contravened section 2 (conflict of interest) and section 3(2) (insider information) of the Members’ Integrity Act, 1994 in relation to the Greenbelt land removals, and recommended that he be reprimanded. The Commissioner’s inquiry drew on evidence from 62 individuals.

    What it means for disabled kids

    Recorded here exactly as the Commissioner framed it, with the sections named and nothing added. This is what an established finding of contravention looks like — and it is the standard every other entry on this page is held to.

    Office of the Integrity Commissioner of Ontario · Read the source document

  12. FindingAuditor General of OntarioAugust 9, 2023

    Greenbelt site selection favoured certain landowners

    In a special report, the Auditor General found that the process for removing 15 sites from the Greenbelt was driven by the Housing Minister’s chief of staff, that certain developers with direct access to him received preferential treatment, and that affected landowners stood to gain an estimated $8.3 billion in land value — an estimate the Auditor General described as conservative.

    What it means for disabled kids

    We report this finding alongside the Auditor General’s special education findings from the same period, and draw no legal conclusion beyond what the Auditor General found in each. Readers can weigh the difference in scale for themselves.

    Office of the Auditor General of Ontario · Read the source document

  13. On the recordLegislative Assembly of OntarioJune 8, 2023

    Provincial control over school boards expanded

    The Better Schools and Student Outcomes Act, 2023 (Bill 98) received Royal Assent on June 8, 2023. It expanded ministerial authority over school boards, including provincial priority-setting, director of education accountability requirements, powers relating to board real estate and asset disposition, and an integrity commissioner regime for trustee conduct.

    What it means for disabled kids

    Read alongside Bill 33 and the 2025 board supervisions, this is a documented sequence: successive statutes moving authority over boards toward the Minister. We report the sequence and the dates. What it adds up to is for the reader to judge.

    Legislative Assembly of Ontario · Read the source document

  14. FindingOntario courtsNovember 29, 2022

    The public-sector wage cap was found to infringe the Charter

    In Ontario English Catholic Teachers Assoc. v His Majesty, 2022 ONSC 6658, the Superior Court held that Bill 124’s compensation restraints infringed the freedom of association guaranteed by section 2(d) of the Charter and struck the Act down. The Court of Appeal upheld the finding of unconstitutionality in part in 2024 ONCA 101, released February 12, 2024, as it applied to represented employees. The government repealed Bill 124 in its entirety on February 23, 2024.

    What it means for disabled kids

    A measure applied across the public sector, including education, was found to breach a constitutional right and then repealed after years of litigation and remediation. It is the clearest available answer to the argument that legislating past a bargaining dispute is a cheap or clean option.

    Ontario Superior Court of Justice; Ontario Court of Appeal · Read the source document

  15. Published proposalPolicy instituteNovember 22, 2022

    Fifty-seven of 1,445 Ontario independent schools emphasize special education

    Cardus published "Naturally Diverse: The Landscape of Independent Schools in Ontario" by David Hunt, Joanna DeJong VanHof and Jenisa Los — a typology of roughly 1,445 Ontario independent schools. As of July 2022 it counted 57 schools emphasizing special education, up from 45 in 2013-14. It counted 545 religious schools (37.7% of the sector) and 593 special-emphasis schools (41%), across 21 special-emphasis subtypes, of which the largest single group was Montessori at 155 schools.

    What it means for disabled kids

    This is the most useful number in the entire file, and it comes from an organization that supports funding independent schools. In each of the Ontario and Alberta proposals we identified, children with special education needs were the named opening case. They are served by roughly four percent of the schools that would benefit from the precedent — fewer than a third as many as teach Montessori.

    Cardus · Read the source document

  16. On the recordLegislative Assembly of OntarioNovember 3, 2022

    Ontario overrode the Human Rights Code to impose an education contract

    The Keeping Students in Class Act, 2022 (Bill 28) imposed a four-year contract on education workers, prohibited a strike, and provided for fines of up to $4,000 per day for an individual and $500,000 per day for the union. It pre-emptively invoked section 33 of the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms — the notwithstanding clause — and also overrode the Ontario Human Rights Code. The Act was repealed by the Keeping Students in Class Repeal Act, 2022 (Bill 35) on November 14, 2022, and deemed never to have been in force.

    What it means for disabled kids

    The accommodation rights that protect disabled students during a work stoppage sit in the Human Rights Code. In 2022 that Code was overridden by statute in this sector. It was reversed within two weeks — but it happened, and families planning for this round are entitled to know it happened.

    Legislative Assembly of Ontario · Read the source document

  17. FindingFinancial Accountability OfficeJuly 21, 2020

    Most of the money announced for autism was not paid out that year

    The Financial Accountability Office reported that of $270 million in childhood budget and one-time autism funding for 2019-20, $97 million was actually paid to about 8,100 families during the year, while $174 million was recorded as an accrued expense for about 25,100 children whose families had not received payment by March 31, 2020. The FAO also estimated that eliminating the waitlist would cost roughly $1.4 billion per year, and that a $600 million program would leave about 22,900 children waiting.

    What it means for disabled kids

    Announced funding and delivered funding are different numbers. Families were counted as served in the province’s books before the money reached them. This is why we track paid enrolment rather than announcements.

    Financial Accountability Office of Ontario · Read the source document

  18. Published proposalPolicy instituteMarch 2, 2020

    Special-needs students named as a route to expanding independent schooling

    Cardus published "Toward a More Diverse and Resilient Education Sector" by David Hunt, addressing Alberta. Among its recommendations for removing enrolment barriers, it advises government to "target additional financial resources to expanding independent-school options for special-needs students," alongside a mobility benefit for low-income families and streamlined approvals for new independent schools.

    What it means for disabled kids

    This one addresses Alberta, not Ontario, and we flag that rather than blur it. It is included because it shows the same population named in the same role in a second province, by the same institute. Note that Alberta has funded independent schools since 1967 — the special-education designation there came long after general funding, not before it.

    Cardus · Read the source document

  19. Published proposalPolicy instituteMarch 20, 2019

    A proposal to send special education funding to independent schools

    Cardus published "Funding Fairness for Students in Ontario with Special Education Needs" by Deani Van Pelt, Ray Pennings and Taylor Jackson. It proposes that students with special education needs attending independent schools receive either 75% or 50% of the per-pupil special education funding provided to public school students, arguing that "services for a child's disability should be based on need and not on the school the child attends." Cardus costed the proposal at $78 million to $195 million per year at the 75% level, and $52 million to $130 million at the 50% level. The paper states that the 75% figure "has also previously been proposed by Hepburn and Mrozek in their 2004 paper" — the Fraser Institute's "Let the Funding Follow the Children."

    What it means for disabled kids

    Students with special education needs are the specific population for which public funding of independent schools has been proposed in Ontario, at a costing well under a sector-wide programme. We previously read a sequencing strategy into that and have withdrawn it — the legislative history of every province that funds independent schools runs the other way. What remains is the composition problem: on Cardus’s own later count, only 57 of roughly 1,445 Ontario independent schools emphasize special education.

    Cardus · Read the source document

Issuing bodies

SOURCE

Office of the Auditor General of Ontario — reports
Government SourceTier 1

Office of the Auditor General of Ontario

Last verified: 2026-08-04

SOURCE

Financial Accountability Office of Ontario — reports
Government SourceTier 1

Financial Accountability Office of Ontario

Last verified: 2026-08-04

SOURCE

Report re Minister Clark, August 30, 2023
Government SourceTier 1

Office of the Integrity Commissioner of Ontario • 2023-08-30

Last verified: 2026-08-04

SOURCE

Ontario English Catholic Teachers Assoc. v His Majesty, 2022 ONSC 6658
Government SourceTier 1

CanLII • 2022-11-29

Last verified: 2026-08-04

SOURCE

Bill 28, Keeping Students in Class Act, 2022
Government SourceTier 1

Legislative Assembly of Ontario • 2022-11-03

Last verified: 2026-08-04

SOURCE

Bill 33, Supporting Children and Students Act, 2025
Government SourceTier 1

Legislative Assembly of Ontario • 2025-11-20

Last verified: 2026-08-04

SOURCE

Funding Fairness for Students in Ontario with Special Education Needs
Research SourceTier 2

Cardus • 2019-03-20

Authors Deani Van Pelt, Ray Pennings and Taylor Jackson. Source for the 75%/50% proposal and its costings, and for the citation of the Fraser Institute’s 2004 paper.

Last verified: 2026-08-04

SOURCE

Alberta Schools: Two-thirds say education system is ailing, but there’s no consensus on the cure
Research SourceTier 2

Angus Reid Institute, in partnership with Cardus • 2026-01-30

Online survey of a randomized sample of 516 Alberta adults, fielded January 27–30, 2026.

Last verified: 2026-08-04

SOURCE

Bill 98, Better Schools and Student Outcomes Act, 2023
Government SourceTier 1

Legislative Assembly of Ontario • 2023-06-08

Last verified: 2026-08-04

Next Steps

Findings do not enforce themselves

The Auditor General reported. The Financial Accountability Office costed it. What changes anything now is families asking their own school, in writing, what happens to their child.

Open the continuity plannerSee the bargaining tracker
About This Article

Written by Spencer Carroll

Founder & Autism Advocate

Parent of autistic child navigating OAP system

Evidence on this page

The source chain stays visible.

Key claims are paired with their source, evidence tier, and verification date so readers can inspect the public record directly.

Facts5
Sources4

Under the Ontario Education Act, every student with special needs is entitled to an Individual Education Plan (IEP) and access to an Identification, Placement and Review Committee (IPRC)

Government / peer-reviewedGovernment of Ontario (2024)Verified 2024-01-01

89,799

children are registered in the Ontario Autism Program

Secondary sourceMCCSS FOI · Mar 2026Verified 2026-06-13

1 in 50

According to the 2019 Canadian Health Survey on Children and Youth, about 1 in 50 children and youth aged 1 to 17 in Canada had an autism diagnosis

Government / peer-reviewedPublic Health Agency of Canada (2024)Verified 2024-03-26

23%

Only 20,633 children have active funding agreements (23%) — less than one in four

Secondary sourceMCCSS FOI · Mar 2026Verified 2026-06-13

WHO recommends accessible, community-based early interventions for children with autism — timely evidence-based psychosocial interventions improve communication and social engagement

Government / peer-reviewedWorld Health Organization (2023)Verified 2023-11-15
Last system verification: 2026-06-13. Next scheduled update: 2026-09-10.
View methodologyBrowse every source