Public information

How fast is the Ontario autism waitlist growing?

An estimated 907 children join the unfunded waitlist each month. Here is the math behind that number.

Direct answer

An estimated 907 children are added to the unfunded Ontario autism waitlist each month. Roughly 918 children register for the Ontario Autism Program every month. Only about active Core Funding Agreements increased by about 11 in that time. The gap between those two numbers is the net monthly growth.

MCCSS Ontario Autism Program figures, May 13, 2026, obtained by the Ontario Autism Coalition under Freedom of Information · Verified 2026-08-10

In brief

In short

  • About 918 children register for the OAP each month
  • Active Core Funding Agreements increased by about 11 per month in the measurement window
  • That leaves an estimated net increase of about 907 unfunded children every month
  • As of May 13, 2026, 71,263 children were waiting without an active Core Funding Agreement

The growth rate at a glance

Register / monthActive agreements increased / monthOntario Autism Program counts, January 7 to May 13, 2026. Source: MCCSS Ontario Autism Program figures, May 13, 2026, obtained by the Ontario Autism Coalition under Freedom of Information.
Average monthly change9181102505007501,000
Monthly OAP registrations and active Core Funding Agreements added
SubjectRegister / monthActive agreements increased / month
Average monthly change91811

Monthly rate comparison and source.

Ontario Autism Program rate comparison, measured January 7 to May 13, 2026. Source: MCCSS Ontario Autism Program figures, May 13, 2026, obtained by the Ontario Autism Coalition under Freedom of Information.
MeasureMonthly rateSource
Register / month918MCCSS Ontario Autism Program figures, May 13, 2026, obtained by the Ontario Autism Coalition under Freedom of Information
Start funded services / month11MCCSS Ontario Autism Program figures, May 13, 2026, obtained by the Ontario Autism Coalition under Freedom of Information
Net unfunded added / month+907ETW analysis of the same reporting window

These monthly rates were measured from January 7 to May 13, 2026. They describe registration and active Core Funding Agreements, not service receipt.

Why the waitlist keeps growing

The unfunded count grows when registrations outpace active Core Funding Agreements. About 918 children register for the Ontario Autism Program each month. Only about 11 active agreements increased by about 11 per month in the same period. The difference, an estimated 907 children a month, is added to the group without an active Core Funding Agreement. Because registrations increased faster than active agreements in the January 7 to May 13, 2026 measurement window, this net figure is a conservative estimate.

CBC News reviewed reports covering late June 2024 through early January 2026 and documented periods where the number of funded children fell even as new families kept registering. CBC documented at least one two-week period where 151 fewer children were funded while 456 more registered.

The result is steady growth. As of May 13, 2026, 91,974 children were registered and 71,263 had no active funding agreement. Only 22.5% had an active Core Funding Agreement — not proof of service receipt.

What it would take to stop the growth

To stop the waitlist from growing
To stop the waitlist from growing, funded enrollment would need to reach about 918 children per month, matching the rate at which children register. That would only hold the line. It would not shrink the 71,263 children already waiting.
To clear the current backlog within five years
To clear the current backlog within five years, enrollment would need to reach about 2,106 children per month, assuming the current registration rate of about 918 per month stays constant. At today's pace, that backlog cannot be cleared.

Source: MCCSS Ontario Autism Program figures, May 13, 2026, obtained by the Ontario Autism Coalition under Freedom of Information; ETW analysis using rates measured January 7 to May 13, 2026. Verified 2026-08-10.

Related answers

Sources

CBC News, Ontario autism services FOI investigation (2026-03-30)

Source for historical registration figures from bi-weekly reports covering late June 2024 through early January 2026. Current counts come from MCCSS Ontario Autism Program figures, May 13, 2026, obtained by the Ontario Autism Coalition under Freedom of Information.

Frequently Asked Questions

Frequently Asked Questions

Verified answers on the growth rate behind the Ontario autism waitlist.

Frequently Asked Questions

An estimated 907 children are added to the unfunded Ontario autism waitlist each month. Roughly 918 children register for the Ontario Autism Program every month. Active Core Funding Agreements increased by about 11 per month over the same measurement window. The difference is the net monthly growth, measured from January 7 to May 13, 2026.

As of May 13, 2026, 91,974 children were registered and 71,263 had no active funding agreement. Only 20,711 children (22.5%) had an active Core Funding Agreement — not proof of service receipt. The figures come from Ontario Autism Coalition freedom-of-information data (MCCSS FOI via OAC, May 2026).

No. The unfunded count grows when registrations outpace active Core Funding Agreements. About 918 children register each month, while active agreements increased by about 11 per month in the measurement window. That leaves an estimated net increase of 907 children each month.

Funded enrollment would need to reach about 918 children per month to freeze the waitlist at its current size. That matches the approximate monthly registration rate. To clear the existing backlog within five years, enrollment would need to reach about 2,106 children per month, assuming the current registration rate of about 918 per month stays constant.

About 918 children register each month. Active Core Funding Agreements increased by about 11 per month in the January 7 to May 13, 2026 measurement window. These rates describe OAP program counts, not service receipt.

Tell your MPP the waitlist is still growing

About 907 more children join the unfunded waitlist every month. 71,263 are already waiting.

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Facts5
Sources4

OAP registrations jumped 21% since mid-2024, with the number of funded children dipping in some periods despite hundreds more registering

Secondary sourceNicole Brockbank & Angelina King (2026)Verified 2026-03-30

22.5%

Only 20,711 children have active funding agreements (22.5%), less than one in four

Primary sourceMCCSS FOI via OAC · May 2026Verified 2026-08-10

WHO recommends accessible, community-based early interventions for children with autism. Timely evidence-based psychosocial interventions improve communication and social engagement

Primary sourceWorld Health Organization (2025)Verified 2025-09-17
Last system verification: 2026-08-10. Next scheduled update: 2026-11-05.

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