Skip to main content
end|thewaitontario
HomeStart HereSee the DataPolicy & RightsResourcesYour RegionEducationNewsroomAbout
Get Started
Start Here
Budget 2026: $965M budgeted, 67,509 children still waiting. Read our analysis →

New here? Start with our 2-minute guide to OAP registration , no sign-up required.

Preparing content
end|thewaitontario

Parent-led advocacy for Ontario families waiting for autism services.

Getting Started

  • Browse All Pages
  • Search
  • Diagnosis Guide
  • While You Wait
  • Facts (Citation Ready)

Common Questions

  • All Questions
  • How Long Is the Wait?
  • What Is the OAP?
  • How Many Are Waiting?
  • Options While Waiting
  • Funding Amounts

Tools

  • Next Steps Tool
  • Wait Estimator
  • Funding Estimator
  • Therapy Budget
  • Waitlist Tracker

Providers

  • Provider Directory
  • Choosing a Provider
  • Submit a Provider

Funding & Support

  • OAP Overview
  • Funding Guide
  • Eligibility
  • How to Register
  • DTC & RDSP

Your Region

  • Toronto
  • Ottawa
  • Hamilton
  • London
  • Mississauga
  • All Regions

Evidence & Data

  • Evidence Library
  • Data Hub
  • Waitlist Data
  • Cost Calculator
  • Data Stories
  • Where Does the Money Go?

Take Action

  • Action Hub
  • Write Your MPP
  • File Complaint
  • Advocacy Toolkit

About

  • Our Story
  • Transparency
  • Media References
  • Founder
  • Press
  • Contact
end|thewaitontario

Parent-led advocacy for Ontario families waiting for autism services.

Getting Started

  • Browse All Pages
  • Search
  • Diagnosis Guide
  • While You Wait
  • Facts (Citation Ready)

Common Questions

  • All Questions
  • How Long Is the Wait?
  • What Is the OAP?
  • How Many Are Waiting?
  • Options While Waiting
  • Funding Amounts

Tools

  • Next Steps Tool
  • Wait Estimator
  • Funding Estimator
  • Therapy Budget
  • Waitlist Tracker

Providers

  • Provider Directory
  • Choosing a Provider
  • Submit a Provider

Funding & Support

  • OAP Overview
  • Funding Guide
  • Eligibility
  • How to Register
  • DTC & RDSP

Your Region

  • Toronto
  • Ottawa
  • Hamilton
  • London
  • Mississauga
  • All Regions

Evidence & Data

  • Evidence Library
  • Data Hub
  • Waitlist Data
  • Cost Calculator
  • Data Stories
  • Where Does the Money Go?

Take Action

  • Action Hub
  • Write Your MPP
  • File Complaint
  • Advocacy Toolkit

About

  • Our Story
  • Transparency
  • Media References
  • Founder
  • Press
  • Contact
end|thewaitontario

Parent-led advocacy for Ontario families waiting for autism services.

  • Browse All Pages
  • Search
  • Diagnosis Guide
  • While You Wait
  • Facts (Citation Ready)
  • All Questions
  • How Long Is the Wait?
  • What Is the OAP?
  • How Many Are Waiting?
  • Options While Waiting
  • Funding Amounts
  • Next Steps Tool
  • Wait Estimator
  • Funding Estimator
  • Therapy Budget
  • Waitlist Tracker
  • Provider Directory
  • Choosing a Provider
  • Submit a Provider
  • OAP Overview
  • Funding Guide
  • Eligibility
  • How to Register
  • DTC & RDSP
  • Toronto
  • Ottawa
  • Hamilton
  • London
  • Mississauga
  • All Regions
  • Evidence Library
  • Data Hub
  • Waitlist Data
  • Cost Calculator
  • Data Stories
  • Where Does the Money Go?
  • Action Hub
  • Write Your MPP
  • File Complaint
  • Advocacy Toolkit
  • Our Story
  • Transparency
  • Media References
  • Founder
  • Press
  • Contact

Legal Disclaimer: This website presents advocacy arguments based on publicly available data and legal frameworks. While we strive for accuracy, this content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute legal or medical advice. Nothing on this website should be construed as a guarantee of any specific legal outcome.

Independence: End The Wait Ontario is a parent-led advocacy group. We are not affiliated with the Ontario government, the Ontario Autism Coalition, Autism Ontario, or the World Health Organization. We cite FOI data obtained by the Ontario Autism Coalition as a matter of public record. This does not constitute affiliation. References to these organizations are for informational purposes; no endorsement is implied.

Non-partisan policy advocacy: We advocate on policy outcomes for children and families and do not endorse any political party or candidate.

Statistics are current as of the dates cited and may change. For specific legal guidance, consult a licensed attorney. For medical advice, consult qualified healthcare professionals. Last updated: 2026.

Legal|Privacy|Terms|Cookies|Accessibility|Corrections|Authority

Advocacy, not anger. Data, not speculation.

Carroll v. Ontario · HRTO 2025-62264-I

© 2026 End The Wait Ontario. All rights reserved. · Parent-led advocacy · Not a government agency

Preparing content

FOI-Sourced Data · Ontario Schools Watch

How Four Laws Could Reshape Control of$123 Billion in Ontario School Land

Four laws. Three years. Eight board takeovers. This investigation tracks the legal architecture that moved school governance and property control closer to the Minister's desk.

Pipeline Scale Property Greenbelt Precedents Autism Sources
  1. Home
  2. ›Ontario Schools Watch
  3. ›Investigation
Share this investigation

Help families, educators, and journalists find this evidence.

$123.3B
School asset value
FAO Dec 2024
8
Boards supervised
As of Apr 2026
~⅓
Of Ontario K-12 students
Estimated from EFIS enrolment
67,509
OAP waitlist
CBC FOI Jan 2026
How to read this investigation
Fact
Legislative sequence is documented.

Bill 98, O. Reg. 374/23, Bill 33, and the April 2026 proposal. Primary sources linked.

Analysis
Privatization risk is our interpretation.

International precedent supports the concern. The government denies the intent.

Risk
No direct donor-to-sale link proven.

Unlike the Greenbelt, no reporting has yet connected a school property purchaser to a PC Party donor.

The architecture of privatization is rarely built overnight. It is assembled through amendments, regulations, oversight powers, and governance redesigns, until control has shifted by the time the public notices what changed.

Between 2018 and 2026, per-student funding fell by $260 in real terms, a cumulative $6.35 billion shortfallCCPA 2025. Boards slid into deficit: by 2025, two-thirds were in deficit or just breaking even.CBC EFIS 2025 The province then invoked those deficits as justification for unprecedented provincial intervention. Eight boards, Thames Valley, TDSB, TCDSB, OCDSB, DPCDSB, Near North, Peel DSB, and York Catholic, covering roughly one-third of Ontario’s K-12 students, now answer to appointed supervisors who, according to CBC News reporting, had ties to the Conservative Party.CBC News 2025

Methodology: This investigation draws exclusively from primary government records, legislative texts, FOI data, FAO reports, and on-the-record media reporting. No unnamed sources. Every figure is verified against the cited primary document. Where evidence is incomplete, we say so explicitly.

Legislative sequence

The Four-Law Pipeline

Each law removed a safeguard. Together they create an unbroken chain from underfunding to forced property sales.

Stage 01, June 2023

Bill 98, Better Schools & Student Outcomes Act

Minister gains power to direct boards to sell property not needed for the next ten years. Boards must report all property conditions and plans to the province.

Property controlMandatory reporting
Source: Legislative Assembly of Ontario; BLG; Hicks Morley
Stage 02, December 31, 2023

O. Reg. 374/23, Disposition Rules Reset

Municipalities removed from buyer priority list. New “provincial priorities” catch-all added. Mandatory disposition: unused 10-year property, Minister “shall mandate” the sale.

Municipalities outMandatory sales“Provincial priorities”
Source: O. Reg. 374/23 s.2, s.5(2), s.6; BLG; Miller Thomson; Toronto Council 2024.EX13.2
Stage 03, November 2025

Bill 33, Supporting Children & Students Act

Takeover grounds expanded to any “matter of public interest.” Minister acts unilaterally. Board’s right to appeal to Divisional Court eliminated.

No court appealUnilateral power
Source: Gowling WLG; Hicks Morley; CBC News
Stage 04, April 13, 2026

Bill 101, Putting Student Achievement First Act

Director of Education renamed CEO (business background required, leads budget development, refers spending disputes to the Minister for final decision). New Chief Education Officer role. Trustees capped at 12 per board; honoraria capped at $10,000.

CEO modelTrustee cap 12Tabled today
Source: Bill 101 (ola.org); CBC News; Global News; CP24, April 13, 2026

Scale

What’s at Stake

$123.3B
School replacement value
FAO Capital Report, Dec 2024
$15–20B
TDSB land portfolio
611 properties, 5,082 acres, RENX/CBC
$6.5B
Repair backlog
FAO 2024, grows to $22.1B by 2033-34
$6.35B
Cumulative funding shortfall
CCPA, $260/student since 2018-19
⅔
Boards in deficit or breaking even
CBC EFIS analysis, Sept 2025
$14,504
Per-student funding
FAO 2025, lowest in a decade

Funding pressure

The convergence that makes selling inevitable

Real per-student funding fell to its lowest in a decade while boards in deficit tripled. The structural gap creates the financial distress that justifies supervision, and supervision enables property decisions.

Per-student funding (left)Boards in deficit (right)
Sources: FAO Education Spending Plan Review 2025 ($14,504/student); CCPA June 2025 ($6.35B gap); CBC EFIS analysis (deficit counts). Year-by-year deficit trajectory is illustrative between confirmed endpoints.

Property control

Who Controls the Land

Province-appointed supervisors now exercise the authority that previously rested with elected trustees, including all decisions about school property.

TDSB
Rohit Gupta, Managing Partner, Harrington Place Advisors (“where public assets meet private capital”). Decade of M&A at Scotia Capital. Economic Policy Advisor to PM Harper. Established P3 Canada.Harrington Place; Ontario.ca
OCDSB
Bob Plamondon, Listed the 5.53-acre former Grant Alternative School (2625 Draper Ave., near the Pinecrest LRT station) for private sale through Avison Young in 2026; as supervisor, Plamondon was not obligated to hold public meetings and elected trustees no longer make decisions on this sale.CBC Ottawa; CTV News Ottawa
DPCDSB
Rick Byers, Former PC MPP. Board accumulated $97.8M deficit, projected $136.3M. Calandra: “at the brink of bankruptcy.”The Pointer; Global News
Transparency
TLC ordered to stop livestreaming board meetings. Gupta signalled change to TLC’s “shareholder direction”, no details disclosed.TorontoToday, Nov 2025

“I feel like they’re hiding something.”

Trustee Dan MacLean, TorontoToday

Then-Ontario Liberal Leader Bonnie Crombie questioned why the province appointed “conservative insiders as supervisors instead of supervisors with the requisite education experience.”CBC, June 27, 2025

PwC found the TDSB’s reliance on property sales was “not sustainable.” The province then appointed a supervisor with extensive M&A and P3 experience.Ontario.ca; The Local

No allegation of misconduct or wrongdoing is made against any individual or organization named in this section. Quotations are reproduced from the cited sources.

Pattern recognition

The Greenbelt Parallel

Critics see a structural parallel. The architecture is strikingly similar; direct proof of insider benefit has not yet emerged for school property.

Greenbelt, 2022-23

Documented. AG report. RCMP investigation.
  • AG 2023: 92% of 3,000 hectares opened were parcels handed to minister’s staffer by two developers at a September 2022 BILD dinner
  • 15 removed parcels: $240M assessed → AG estimated $8.3B collective value increase
  • RCMP criminal investigation launched October 10, 2023
  • Ontario NDP (Dec 2020): 19 of 38 MZOs benefited developers linked to PC donors or insiders
  • Highway 413: 8 developers owning 3,300 acres along the route donated $813K to the PC Party since 2014

School Boards, 2023-26

Architecture documented. End use unproven.
  • “Provincial priorities” language mirrors Greenbelt discretion
  • Municipalities removed from buyer priority list
  • Supervisors who, per CBC News reporting, had ties to the Conservative Party, now oversee $15-20B in TDSB property
  • TLC stopped livestreaming board meetings
  • TDSB and TCDSB pursuing 14-storey developments on school sites
  • FOI exemption bill (March 2026) would bury future evidence

No allegation of misconduct or wrongdoing is made against any individual or organization named in this section. The Greenbelt facts are reproduced from the cited Auditor General report and subsequent reporting; the school-property column documents legislative architecture only.

International context

Where This Playbook Has Been Run

England

Academization

78% of secondary schools converted to Multi-Academy Trusts. Property deeds transferred at no cost. ~£60B assets.

Two-thirds performed below average for disadvantaged pupils., Sutton Trust
United States

State takeovers

100+ takeovers since 1989. New Orleans all-charter post-Katrina. Detroit’s 15-year takeover left schools worse.

Philadelphia sold West Phila High ($16.3M) for $6M. 42% became charters.
Sweden

For-profit vouchers

1992 reform allowed for-profit operators. Model Fraser Institute advocates for Ontario.

Steepest PISA decline of any OECD country. “System failure” declared 2023.
Canada

P3 schools

Nova Scotia built 39 P3 schools. Alberta planned 19. Ontario’s P3 portfolio audited.

Nova Scotia spent $49.3M buying back. Ontario AG: P3s cost $8B more.

Human cost

67,509 Children Lose Their Most Consistent Public Support

For children waiting 5+ years for OAP clinical services, school-based supports, speech therapy, OT, EAs, IEPs, are often the most consistent public intervention available.

0
Children waiting for OAP services
Each dot ≈ 10 children on the OAP waitlist · Red = children at supervised boards (~33%)
50%
Parents worried about safety at school
5,000
Educators lost since 2018
6%
Students fully excluded (~21K)
0
Surplus rules requiring disability impact test

Conclusion

The Architecture Is Complete

Four laws passed over three years transferred governance powers to the provincial Minister. Supervisors appointed to eight boards hold backgrounds documented in CBC News reporting. No published timeline exists for restoring elected governance.

No investigative reporting has yet directly linked a specific school property purchaser to a PC Party donor. But the tools are in place, the pattern matches the Greenbelt, Ontario Place, and Science Centre precedents, and the international evidence is unambiguous.

The Government of Ontario has built the pipeline. The question is what it intends to pump through it, and whether the 67,509 autistic children on a five-year waitlist will be counted among the costs.

This is happening now.

Ontario families deserve transparency about what happens to public school land.

Email Your MPP — 2 minAdvocacy ToolkitTrack ActionsBoard Tracker
Help this reach more families

Help families, educators, and journalists find this evidence.

Primary sources & methodology

Legislation: Bill 98 · O. Reg. 374/23 · Bill 33 (2025) · Bill 101, Putting Student Achievement First Act, 2026 (tabled April 13, 2026)

Financial: FAO Capital Dec 2024, $123.3B, $6.5B backlog, 84.1% TDSB below SOGR · FAO Spending 2025, $14,504/student · CCPA June 2025, $6.35B gap

Property: TDSB ($15–20B) from RENX, CBC · Toronto Council 2024.EX13.2

Supervisors: Harrington Place · Ontario.ca · CBC June 2025 · TorontoToday

Legal: BLG · Gowling WLG · Hicks Morley · Miller Thomson

Grant Alternative School: CBC Ottawa · CTV News Ottawa

Greenbelt parallel: AG Special Report on Greenbelt (Aug 2023) · CBC, RCMP investigation Oct 10, 2023 · National Observer, Hwy 413 donations

Published April 13, 2026. Corrections within 24 hours at endthewaitontario.com/corrections.

What official government data tracks the Ontario autism waitlist?

Primary sources include: Financial Accountability Office (FAO) annual reports, Ontario Auditor General reviews, OHRC policy statements, publicly available FOI data, and AccessOAP program data. Latest FOI data (Dec 2025) shows 88,175 registered children with only 23.4% having active funding agreements (up from 70,176 registered in the FAO 2023-24 report).

Source: FAO, Auditor General, OHRC, CBC FOI Jan 2026

What rights do autistic students have in Ontario schools?

In Ontario, students with autism have the right to an Individual Education Plan (IEP) and reasonable accommodations without a formal diagnosis, based on need. Parents can request an IPRC meeting to identify their child as 'exceptional', guaranteeing specific rights to support services.

Source: Ontario Education Act

How many students are excluded from school in Ontario?

Ministry FOI data shows 499 students were formally excluded in 2022-23, up from 160 in 2020-21 — a 212% increase in three years. Approximately 58% had special education needs. However, this only counts formal s.265(1)(m) exclusions. The Ontario Autism Coalition's 2025 community survey found 6% full exclusion and one-third partial exclusion, representing approximately 21,000 children province-wide. Informal exclusions are never tracked.

Source: Ministry of Education FOI Data via The Trillium (2024); OAC Community Survey (2025)

About This Article
Written by:Spencer Carroll - Founder & Autism AdvocateParent of autistic child navigating OAP system

Where do you start?

Choose your path

The quickest routes to diagnosis guidance, evidence, practical support, and advocacy.

Just diagnosed?
First steps after an autism diagnosis
Already waiting?
What to do while on the waitlist
See the data
FOI-backed charts, methods, and evidence
Want change?
Write your MPP in 5 minutes

Verified Facts

Facts cited on this page

Under the Ontario Education Act, every student with special needs is entitled to an Individual Education Plan (IEP) and access to an Identification, Placement and Review Committee (IPRC)

Gov / Peer-ReviewedGovernment of Ontario (2024)Verified: 2024-01-01

88,175, children are registered in the Ontario Autism Program

SecondaryCBC FOI Jan 2026Verified: 2026-04-29

1 in 50, According to the 2019 Canadian Health Survey on Children and Youth, about children and youth aged 1 to 17 in Canada had an autism diagnosis

Gov / Peer-ReviewedPublic Health Agency of Canada (2024)Verified: 2024-03-26

23.4%, Only 20,666 children have active funding agreements () — less than one in four

SecondaryCBC FOI Jan 2026Verified: 2026-04-29

WHO recommends accessible, community-based early interventions for children with autism — timely evidence-based psychosocial interventions improve communication and social engagement

Gov / Peer-ReviewedWorld Health Organization (2023)Verified: 2023-11-15
View our methodologyView all sourcesNext data update: 2026-05-15