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Budget 2026: $965M budgeted, 67,509 children still waiting. Read our analysis →

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end|thewaitontario

Parent-led advocacy for Ontario families waiting for autism services.

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end|thewaitontario

Parent-led advocacy for Ontario families waiting for autism services.

Getting Started

  • Browse All Pages
  • Search
  • Diagnosis Guide
  • While You Wait
  • Facts (Citation Ready)

Common Questions

  • All Questions
  • How Long Is the Wait?
  • What Is the OAP?
  • How Many Are Waiting?
  • Options While Waiting
  • Funding Amounts

Tools

  • Next Steps Tool
  • Wait Estimator
  • Funding Estimator
  • Therapy Budget
  • Waitlist Tracker

Providers

  • Provider Directory
  • Choosing a Provider
  • Submit a Provider

Funding & Support

  • OAP Overview
  • Funding Guide
  • Eligibility
  • How to Register
  • DTC & RDSP

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  • Advocacy Toolkit

About

  • Our Story
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end|thewaitontario

Parent-led advocacy for Ontario families waiting for autism services.

  • Browse All Pages
  • Search
  • Diagnosis Guide
  • While You Wait
  • Facts (Citation Ready)
  • All Questions
  • How Long Is the Wait?
  • What Is the OAP?
  • How Many Are Waiting?
  • Options While Waiting
  • Funding Amounts
  • Next Steps Tool
  • Wait Estimator
  • Funding Estimator
  • Therapy Budget
  • Waitlist Tracker
  • Provider Directory
  • Choosing a Provider
  • Submit a Provider
  • OAP Overview
  • Funding Guide
  • Eligibility
  • How to Register
  • DTC & RDSP
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  • Ottawa
  • Hamilton
  • London
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  • Evidence Library
  • Data Hub
  • Waitlist Data
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Legal Disclaimer: This website presents advocacy arguments based on publicly available data and legal frameworks. While we strive for accuracy, this content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute legal or medical advice. Nothing on this website should be construed as a guarantee of any specific legal outcome.

Independence: End The Wait Ontario is a parent-led advocacy group. We are not affiliated with the Ontario government, the Ontario Autism Coalition, Autism Ontario, or the World Health Organization. We cite FOI data obtained by the Ontario Autism Coalition as a matter of public record. This does not constitute affiliation. References to these organizations are for informational purposes; no endorsement is implied.

Non-partisan policy advocacy: We advocate on policy outcomes for children and families and do not endorse any political party or candidate.

Statistics are current as of the dates cited and may change. For specific legal guidance, consult a licensed attorney. For medical advice, consult qualified healthcare professionals. Last updated: 2026.

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Advocacy, not anger. Data, not speculation.

Carroll v. Ontario · HRTO 2025-62264-I

© 2026 End The Wait Ontario. All rights reserved. · Parent-led advocacy · Not a government agency

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  1. Home
  2. ›Evidence
  3. ›Budget Watch 2026
BUDGET ANALYSIS

What to Watch For in the March 26 Ontario Budget

88,175 families are counting on this budget. Here's how to read it — and what to look for.

TL;DR

  • Ontario spent $691.2M on the OAP in 2023-24 — less than half went to therapy
  • 67,509 children are waiting for funded services right now
  • The FAO says $1.35B is needed — the gap is ~$570M/year
  • Administrative costs including intake operations total $57.9M/year (8.4% of budget)

The policy behind the numbers

67,509 children are caught in a structural funding gap — every budget cycle is a chance to close it.

Registered

88,17588,175

Children registered

Total in the Ontario Autism Program queue

CBC FOI Jan 2026

Funded

20,66620,666

Have active funding

Just 23.4% of registered children

CBC FOI Jan 2026

Waiting

67,50967,509

Still waiting

Registered. Diagnosed. Un-funded.

CBC FOI Jan 2026

Verified April 29, 2026 — CBC FOI Jan 2026

Share these numbers
Ontario Autism Program key statistics (CBC FOI Jan 2026, verified 2026-04-29)
MetricValue
Children registered88,175
Have active funding20,666
Still waiting67,509

The Numbers That Matter

$691.2M

Total OAP Spending (2023-24)

$307.3M

Went to Core Clinical Services

67,509

Children Without Funded Services

$1.35B

FAO Estimate to Clear Waitlist

In 2023-24, the Ontario government spent $691.2 million on the Ontario Autism Program. That sounds like a lot — until you look at where it went.

Of that total, $307.3 million (44.5%) went to Core Clinical Services: ABA, speech-language pathology, occupational therapy, and mental health support. The remainder funded administrative operations, intake infrastructure, and legacy programs.

Meanwhile, 67,509 children sit on the waitlist without funded services, many during the critical 0-6 developmental window when early intervention is most effective.

The Financial Accountability Office estimated that $1.35 billion would be needed to serve all waitlisted children at 2018-19 service levels. The current annual budget of $965M leaves an estimated $570 million annual shortfall.

The goal is not to eliminate oversight infrastructure, but to ensure that funding reaches families. Regardless of how administrative costs are structured, the core question remains: are children receiving funded services during the developmental window when early intervention is most effective?

Budget Claims in Context

"Record investment in autism services"

Ontario has been claiming "record investment" since 2019. In real (inflation-adjusted) terms, per-child funding has decreased as registrations grew 26% while the budget grew more slowly. Check whether any "new" figure exceeds $691.2M in inflation-adjusted dollars.

"More children than ever receiving services"

True in absolute numbers — 20,666 enrolled in Core Clinical — but incomplete. The waitlist grew faster than enrollment. Based on pre-redesign OAP data, approximately 72% received services; now only 23.4%. The percentage served has declined significantly.

"Investing in system capacity"

$26.5M went to "System Capacity Building Initiatives" in 2023-24. Ask: what measurable improvement in wait times or service access did this produce? The waitlist grew by ~402 children/month despite this investment.

"Streamlined intake through AccessOAP"

Administrative costs for intake operations totalled $57.9M in 2023-24 (8.4% of total OAP spending). AccessOAP is operated by a consortium including Accerta Services Inc., Autism Ontario, McMaster University, and Serefin. Regardless of how intake is structured, the core question is whether the administrative share is proportionate and whether children are receiving funded services.

Questions the Budget May Not Answer

  • The waitlist is growing by ~402 children per month — faster than the government can enroll them
  • Administrative intake costs ($57.9M in 2023-24) represent 8.4% of total spending — is this proportion appropriate relative to direct services?
  • At current enrollment rates, it is mathematically impossible to clear the backlog — Ontario would need to more than double monthly enrollment to ~1,975/month
  • Hundreds of children age out of the critical 0-6 intervention window each month without ever receiving publicly funded therapy (estimated from average wait time and annual registration data)
  • The IPC Commissioner has warned that proposed FIPPA amendments (Bill 212) would further reduce transparency over delegated autism service delivery
  • The 2019 OAP redesign coincided with a nearly fourfold increase in registrations — from approximately 23,000 to 88,175

How to Read the Budget

1

Find the MCCSS autism line items

Look in the Expenditure Estimates under Ministry of Children, Community and Social Services. Autism funding appears in Transfer Payments. Compare to the FAO's last reported figure of $691.2M.

2

Watch for "new investment" vs. reannouncements

Governments frequently re-announce previously committed funding as if it were new. Check whether the total is genuinely above last year's actual spending, not just above last year's originally budgeted amount.

3

Calculate the per-child allocation

Divide total autism allocation by 88,175 (total registered children) — not by the smaller number of children currently receiving services. This gives the true per-child investment. In 2023-24, it was approximately $7,880/child — well below the $6,600-$65,000/year range of Core Clinical funding levels.

4

Look for the administrative share

How much goes to administrative and intake operations vs. direct services? In 2023-24, these costs totalled $57.9M — about 8.4% of total spending. Track whether this proportion changes and how it compares to the share reaching families directly.

5

Wait for the FAO analysis

The Financial Accountability Office of Ontario publishes independent ministry spending reviews. Their analysis is the gold standard for understanding what the government actually spent, as opposed to what it announced.

The Budget Has Dropped

The March 26 budget has been tabled. Read our detailed analysis comparing the budget's autism allocations against the data above.

Read Our Analysis

Same-day breakdown of what the budget means for autism families

Write Your MPP

Budget-specific letter templates to hold your MPP accountable

See the Full Picture

Where the money has been going — FOI data and FAO reports

Sources

  • Financial Accountability Office of Ontario — MCCSS Spending Plan Review (June 2024)
  • Ontario Autism Coalition — FOI Data (December 2025)
  • Ontario 2025 Economic Outlook and Fiscal Review
  • Information and Privacy Commissioner of Ontario — FIPPA Reports

Next Steps

The budget is out — $965M, still 33¢ on the dollar

Three independent calculations show the real gap is $1.9B–$2.5B. Read the full analysis with verified sources.

Cost to Clear the WaitlistEmail Your MPP — 2 min
  • Ontario Budget 2026 — OAP Allocation. Ontario Ministry of Finance (2026)

How many children are on the Ontario autism waitlist in 2026?

As of January 2026, **88,175 children are registered with the Ontario Autism Program**. [FOI] However, only **20,666 (23.4%)** have an active Core Funding Agreement. This represents approximately 280% growth in the waitlist since 2019, with over 67,000 children still waiting for essential funding.

Source: CBC FOI Jan 2026, FAO Report 2024

Is the Ontario Autism Program underfunded?

Yes. The Financial Accountability Office (FAO) determined that **$1.35 billion annually** is needed to serve all registered children at 2018-19 service levels. The 2026-27 Ontario Budget allocated **$965 million**, leaving an estimated **$385M+ annual shortfall**. [FAO, Ontario Budget 2026] This gap is the primary driver of the perpetual 88,175+ child waitlist.

Source: Financial Accountability Office of Ontario [FAO]

About This Article
Written by:Spencer Carroll - Founder & Autism AdvocateParent of autistic child navigating OAP system
Featured in CBC News Investigation
FOI Data Verified
Clip in WHO Social Media Reel
Active HRTO Advocacy
FAO & Legislative Assembly Cited

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Verified Facts

Facts cited on this page

$965M — Ontario allocated to the Ontario Autism Program in 2026-27

Gov / Peer-ReviewedGovernment of Ontario, Ministry of Finance (2026)Verified: 2026-03-26

According to the FAO (2020 report), OAP funding covers less than one-third of estimated need at 2018-19 service levels

Gov / Peer-ReviewedFinancial Accountability Office of Ontario (2020)Verified: 2020-07-21

88,175 — children are registered in the Ontario Autism Program

SecondaryCBC FOI Jan 2026Verified: 2026-04-29

23.4% — Only 20,666 children have active funding agreements () — less than one in four

SecondaryCBC FOI Jan 2026Verified: 2026-04-29

WHO recommends accessible, community-based early interventions for children with autism — timely evidence-based psychosocial interventions improve communication and social engagement

Gov / Peer-ReviewedWorld Health Organization (2023)Verified: 2023-11-15
View our methodologyView all sourcesNext data update: 2026-05-15