How has the OAP waitlist changed over time?
Reported OAP registration counts have risen across the post-2019 redesign period: ~23,000 children (2019, approximate), ~30,000 (2020), ~40,000 (2021), ~60,000 (2022), ~70,000 (2023), 70,176 (FAO-verified 2023–24), and 88,175 (FOI January 2026). The current figure is roughly a 283% increase over the 2019 baseline. Over the same period the share of registered children receiving active funding fell from approximately 40% to 23.4%. The FAO's 2024 OAP analysis attributes the persistent gap between registration growth and funded enrolment to provider capacity constraints in the service delivery model (source: FAO, MCCSS Spending Plan Review 2023–24, fao-on.org).