Data Methodology

How we source and check every figure

Each figure names its source. Most come from government records; some are community-reported or our own estimates, and we label those.

End The Wait Ontario methodology · Verified 2026-08-10

In brief

In short

  • Every statistic traces to a verifiable public record, FOI responses, FAO reports, or government publications
  • Sources ranked in a 7-tier hierarchy with FOI responses at the top and media reports at the bottom
Show all 4 facts
  • Corrections are published openly with timestamps, original text is preserved for reference
  • We disclose known data limitations including FOI processing lag and reliance on government-reported figures
Verified: 2026-08-10Scope: Ontario, Canada

The numbers behind the methodology

Every statistic on this site traces back to the same crisis, the triple-verified figures below are the foundation on which all our data reporting stands.

Ontario's figures, as of May 2026 (MCCSS FOI via OAC · May 2026).

Registered

91,974

Children registered

Total registered in the Ontario Autism Program

Funded

20,711

Have active funding

22.5% of registered children

Without active agreement

71,263

Without an active funding agreement

An administrative status; it does not confirm current service delivery.

Figures as of · MCCSS FOI via OAC · May 2026 · checked

Show as table
Ontario Autism Program key statistics (MCCSS FOI via OAC · May 2026, as of May 13, 2026)
MetricValue
Children registered91,974
Have active funding20,711
Without an active funding agreement71,263

Source hierarchy

We prioritize data sources in this order:

We prioritize data sources in this order:
RankSourceDescription
1Freedom of Information responsesDirect government records obtained through Ontario's FIPPA/MFIPPA process. These are the most authoritative because they are the government's own data.
2Financial Accountability Office of Ontario (FAO)Independent, non-partisan legislative officer reports. The FAO's mandate is to provide independent analysis of provincial finances and trends.
3Ontario government publicationsBudget documents, ministry reports, program guidelines, and regulatory filings published by the Ontario government itself.
4Auditor General of OntarioValue-for-money audits and special reports examining government programs.
5Federal government dataStatistics Canada, PHAC publications, and federal framework documents related to autism services.
6Peer-reviewed researchAcademic studies published in recognized journals, used to provide context for Ontario-specific data.
7Media reportsNews coverage from recognized outlets, used for context and cross-referencing only, never as a primary data source.

How we report the waitlist

We report 91,974 children registered and 71,263 without an active funding agreement, as of May 13, 2026. Source: MCCSS Ontario Autism Program figures, May 13, 2026, obtained by the Ontario Autism Coalition under Freedom of Information.

We maintain a data consistency standard across the site. When a number is updated, it is updated everywhere simultaneously. Our audit process checks for discrepancies between pages.

What we get wrong

We make mistakes. When we do, we correct them publicly:

  1. Our corrections policy is published at /corrections-policy
  2. Corrections are timestamped and the original text is preserved for reference
  3. We do not silently edit published content, all substantive changes are disclosed
  4. If you find an error, contact us at our contact page

What we don't know

We are transparent about the limits of our data:

  • We cannot verify the exact current waitlist number in real time, the FOI-sourced data (Ontario Autism Coalition FOI, May 2026) has a processing lag

  • We cannot independently confirm how individual families experience the program

  • We rely on government-reported spending figures that we cannot independently audit

  • Geographic breakdowns are estimates based on regional population data and available program statistics

Where our analysis involves estimates or calculations rather than direct government data, we state this explicitly and show our methodology.

Archival and verification

  • All FOI responses referenced on this site are preserved in their original form

  • The Internet Archive (Wayback Machine) independently archives this site regularly

  • Our published statistics can be cross-referenced against FAO reports, budget documents, and Hansard records

  • We welcome verification of any claim on this site and will provide source documents upon request

Claims and sources from this page(2)

How many children are on the Ontario autism waitlist in 2026?

As of May 13, 2026, 91,974 children are registered with the Ontario Autism Program. However, only 20,711 (22.5%) have an active Core Funding Agreement. This represents ~300% growth in registrations since 2019, with 71,263 children still waiting for essential funding.

Source: MCCSS FOI via OAC · May 2026 · Open source record

Is the Ontario Autism Program underfunded?

The 2026-27 Ontario Budget allocated $965 million for autism services, up from $779 million in 2025-26, while 91,974 children are registered. The budget record supports the current allocation; the historical FAO funding model is cited separately. Pending verification: Editorial review not recorded. Excluded from citation-ready exports.

Source: 2026-27 Ontario Budget · Open source record

The evidence

Use the data

Put these figures in a letter to your MPP, or download the datasets and check them yourself.

Evidence for this methodology

Evidence for this methodology
DateRecordPublisherSource type
Data Methodology | How We Verify Every ClaimEnd The Wait OntarioSource

Sources on this page

The source chain stays visible.

Key claims are paired with their source, evidence tier, and verification date so readers can inspect the public record directly.

Facts4
Sources4

22.5%

Only 20,711 children have active funding agreements (22.5%), less than one in four

Primary sourceMCCSS FOI via OAC · May 2026Verified 2026-08-10
Last system verification: 2026-08-10. Next scheduled update: 2026-11-05.

About this page

Check the author’s context, review method, and how to report an error.

Written by

Founder & Autism Advocate

Lived experience: Parent of autistic child navigating OAP system